Mancha Real vs Maracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 1
MAN
80%
14%
6%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
ALQ
63%
21%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 1
VIL
37%
27%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 2
MAN
81%
13%
5%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
ANT
29%
26%
45%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAL
3 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDE
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALQ
3 - 2
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
COM
46%
24%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |