Mancha Real vs Maracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 0
MAN
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
HUE
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 2
MAN
24%
26%
49%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
MOT
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 1
MAN
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
VEL
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UDS
1 - 2
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
NIJ
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |