Mancha Real vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 2
GRA
25%
27%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
CDT
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
CSP
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
AGU
45%
29%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 3
MAR
66%
22%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
MUR
15%
26%
59%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
HER
2 - 1
MAR
75%
18%
7%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
ELD
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |