Mancha Real vs Los Villares CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
UDS
1 - 0
MAN
26%
28%
46%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 0
MOL
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 1
MAN
21%
26%
53%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
HUE
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Los Villares CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 2
VEL
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
EST
48%
24%
29%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
UDS
1 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
MOL
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
UDM
2 - 1
VIL
29%
23%
49%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |