Mancha Real vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 0
MAN
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 0
CDV
75%
17%
9%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RJA
3 - 1
MAN
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
LOJ
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LOJ
0 - 2
CDT
68%
18%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
LOJ
2 - 1
RJA
29%
24%
48%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LOJ
1 - 0
ALH
82%
12%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
LOJ
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MAL
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |