Mancha Real vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAN
56%
25%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 0
LIN
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
RON
1 - 0
MAN
28%
28%
44%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HUE
0 - 1
MAN
32%
29%
39%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
LOJ
2 - 1
VEL
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
LOJ
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LOJ
3 - 1
UDS
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MOL
2 - 2
LOJ
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LOJ
7 - 1
UDM
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |