Mancha Real vs Iliturgi CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2001 |
MAN
1 - 0
CDL
25%
26%
49%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
VAN
1 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
MAN
3 - 3
UDS
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAN
38%
26%
37%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
MAN
4 - 1
ALH
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Iliturgi CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2001 |
ILI
1 - 1
VAN
26%
28%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
UDS
0 - 0
ILI
66%
21%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
ILI
0 - 1
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
ALH
4 - 0
ILI
55%
25%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
MAL
3 - 2
ILI
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |