Mancha Real vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 3
MAN
19%
24%
58%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
LIN
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
RJA
2 - 1
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
LOJ
52%
22%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UDS
2 - 3
MAN
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
TOR
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
HUE
2 - 1
GUA
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 3
ATA
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 2
VEL
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |