Mancha Real vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
MAN
72%
19%
10%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AME
2 - 1
MAN
16%
24%
60%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 3
LOJ
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
ATA
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
HUE
0 - 2
GUA
42%
25%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
CDE
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |