Mancha Real vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ANT
2 - 2
MAN
34%
30%
36%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 3
ALH
23%
27%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
LOJ
0 - 0
MAN
62%
24%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 1
UBE
30%
28%
42%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 1
MAN
67%
20%
12%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 3
BAZ
27%
28%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 0
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
UDS
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MOT
1 - 1
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAR
51%
27%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |