Mancha Real vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13%
82.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
17.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
14.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
18%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
HER
19%
25%
56%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ELD
0 - 1
MAN
59%
25%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 1
INT
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +3 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 3
NUC
19%
25%
56%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CDE
0 - 1
MAN
71%
20%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
CAD
1 - 1
GRA
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALA
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
LAG
0 - 7
GRA
4%
13%
84%
|
84 | 22 | 62 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 2
GRA
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 4
RMA
14%
20%
66%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | -1 |