Mancha Real vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 2
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 0
AND
77%
16%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
ARE
3 - 0
MAN
64%
21%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
MAN
4 - 0
ROC
34%
26%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
BAZ
0 - 0
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 0
ANT
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
ARE
4 - 0
GRA
28%
28%
45%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
CIU
1 - 0
GRA
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 2
MOT
45%
29%
26%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
ALG
3 - 2
GRA
35%
29%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |