Mancha Real vs Recreativo Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
CDT
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
CSP
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 1
MAN
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 2
AGU
66%
22%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 3
GRA
47%
27%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 0
MUR
31%
29%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
GRA
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
CDE
2 - 1
GRA
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |