Mancha Real vs UD Fuengirola Los Boliches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
55.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BAZ
1 - 0
MAN
66%
22%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
MOT
3 - 1
MAN
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
MAR
47%
28%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 0
MAN
65%
22%
13%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 0
ROC
29%
29%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
UD Fuengirola Los Boliches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
FUE
2 - 0
GRA
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FUE
1 - 1
EST
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ALH
2 - 0
FUE
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
FUE
17 - 1
CDS
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
BEN
0 - 0
FUE
9%
21%
70%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | -1 |