Mancha Real vs Español de Alquián analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+432%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 1
VIL
37%
27%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 2
MAN
81%
13%
5%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
ALH
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ATA
1 - 2
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Español de Alquián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ALQ
0 - 3
MAL
17%
23%
60%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALQ
3 - 2
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
6 - 0
ALQ
64%
20%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALQ
1 - 2
VIL
30%
25%
46%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 2
ALQ
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |