Mancha Real vs Español de Alquián analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+127%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
MAN
72%
19%
10%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AME
2 - 1
MAN
16%
24%
60%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Español de Alquián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALQ
2 - 4
LIN
24%
25%
52%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAL
7 - 0
ALQ
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ALQ
2 - 2
AME
86%
10%
5%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CDE
2 - 2
ALQ
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ALQ
2 - 0
VEL
32%
25%
44%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |