Mancha Real vs Español de Alquián analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+261%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LOJ
3 - 2
MAN
68%
21%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 3
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
RON
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Español de Alquián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
VEL
7 - 1
ALQ
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ALQ
5 - 2
VIL
78%
14%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
UDS
1 - 1
ALQ
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALQ
2 - 0
MOL
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
UDM
3 - 1
ALQ
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -2 |