Mancha Real vs Rusadir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAR
23%
30%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAN
74%
19%
8%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
FUE
19%
26%
55%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BAZ
1 - 0
MAN
66%
22%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
MOT
3 - 1
MAN
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Rusadir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
RUS
0 - 8
GRA
17%
24%
59%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FUE
3 - 1
RUS
88%
8%
3%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
RUS
0 - 5
BAZ
14%
21%
66%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
UBE
2 - 0
RUS
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |