Mancha Real vs CD Villacarrillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
RON
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAN
29%
28%
43%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
HUE
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ATA
2 - 3
MAN
33%
28%
39%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 0
UDS
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MOL
0 - 2
VIL
27%
25%
49%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
5 - 1
UDM
79%
14%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
HUE
2 - 1
VIL
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |