Mancha Real vs CD Villacarrillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 0
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 1
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 2
MAN
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
RON
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 1
MAN
23%
26%
52%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 2
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
ATA
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 3
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |