Mancha Real vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
CSP
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 1
MAN
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
POZ
1 - 0
MAN
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 0
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 1
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
CDT
66%
22%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 0
CIU
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CDC
1 - 1
CDT
27%
28%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
CDT
35%
26%
38%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |