Mancha Real vs Pvo. El Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 1
MUR
19%
27%
54%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CRD
0 - 1
MAN
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 3
LIN
25%
27%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
REC
3 - 0
MAN
66%
22%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 3
BAL
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pvo. El Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDE
2 - 0
CRD
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
CDE
60%
22%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
CDE
6 - 1
REC
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 1
CDE
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CDE
1 - 0
JUM
25%
25%
51%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |