Mancha Real vs Pvo. El Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
COM
0 - 3
MAN
30%
27%
43%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
5 - 0
RIV
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
RON
0 - 4
MAN
24%
27%
49%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
HUE
38%
27%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pvo. El Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CDE
4 - 1
MAL
34%
26%
41%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ALQ
0 - 3
CDE
11%
18%
71%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 0
CDE
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
CDE
3 - 0
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 1
CDE
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |