Mancha Real vs Alcalá CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ALH
0 - 1
MAN
42%
28%
31%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
JOD
0 - 1
MAN
30%
27%
43%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAE
41%
27%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
EST
2 - 0
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
ALC
5 - 0
NER
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CDU
6 - 1
ALC
51%
24%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 1
NSR
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
RON
2 - 0
ALC
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |