Mancha Real vs Alcalá CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAN
38%
29%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 0
RON
30%
26%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
5 - 0
JOD
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BAE
1 - 0
MAN
42%
28%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
6 - 0
CAR
56%
26%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 2
MIJ
32%
25%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
NER
0 - 3
ALC
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 2
CDU
29%
25%
47%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
NSR
1 - 0
ALC
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 1
RON
12%
18%
69%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +3 |