Mancha Real vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 2
MAN
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 0
VEL
46%
25%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 2
NIJ
29%
27%
43%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 0
MAN
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
MAL
3 - 0
ADR
87%
10%
3%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAL
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MAL
1 - 1
RON
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAL
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MAL
4 - 2
VIC
70%
18%
11%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |