Mancha Real vs Atarfe Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
EST
0 - 2
MAN
49%
25%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
MAR
61%
23%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAN
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
CAS
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atarfe Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ATA
0 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 2
ATA
27%
24%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
ATA
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ATA
3 - 1
EST
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 4
ATA
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |