Mancha Real vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RJA
2 - 2
MAN
75%
18%
8%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAR
17%
24%
59%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
MAN
71%
20%
9%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
EXT
5 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
CRD
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
TUD
1 - 0
SAN
54%
26%
20%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
REC
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
MUR
19%
25%
57%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |