Mancha Real vs Antequera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 1
ALH
31%
27%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAN
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 2
RON
21%
25%
55%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LOJ
3 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Antequera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ANT
1 - 0
VEL
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
UDS
1 - 0
ANT
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 1
ANT
44%
25%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ANT
1 - 1
NIJ
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
ANT
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |