Mancha Real vs Alhaurín de la Torre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAN
39%
29%
33%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
VIL
41%
27%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MOL
0 - 2
MAN
34%
29%
38%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
LOJ
25%
26%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alhaurín de la Torre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALH
0 - 2
LIN
14%
23%
63%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALH
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALH
0 - 0
AME
54%
22%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CDE
4 - 0
ALH
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ALH
0 - 3
GUA
38%
26%
37%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |