Mancha Real vs Alhaurín de la Torre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RON
0 - 0
MAN
35%
27%
39%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
HUE
69%
20%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
UDS
2 - 0
MAN
47%
26%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 0
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 4
LIN
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alhaurín de la Torre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALH
2 - 3
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 1
ALH
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ALH
0 - 1
ATA
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
EST
1 - 4
ALH
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALH
68%
19%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |