At. Malagueño vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAL
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 1
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UDT
0 - 0
MAL
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MAL
4 - 1
MOT
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
MAL
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
RJA
67%
20%
12%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RJA
4 - 1
CDM
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RJA
2 - 1
HUE
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CHM
0 - 6
RJA
9%
19%
72%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
RJA
2 - 3
GET
7%
19%
74%
|
41 | 84 | 43 | 0 |