At. Malagueño vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
UDS
1 - 2
MAL
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 1
PAL
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
HUE
1 - 2
MAL
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALM
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 0
MAL
20%
25%
55%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
RJA
2 - 0
UDS
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 1
RJA
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
RJA
2 - 1
HUE
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 2
RJA
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDT
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |