Atlético vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ALM
0 - 0
ATM
29%
27%
45%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ATM
3 - 4
VIL
42%
27%
31%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
ATM
4 - 3
SEV
34%
28%
38%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LEV
0 - 1
ATM
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
LOK
3 - 3
ATM
33%
28%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
VAD
1 - 1
MUR
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VAD
1 - 0
LEV
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ZAR
2 - 3
VAD
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
VAD
1 - 1
FCB
15%
23%
62%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
OSA
2 - 2
VAD
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |