Atlético vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.4%
2.3%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ATM
4 - 0
SEV
61%
21%
18%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
HAP
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 1
ATM
16%
23%
62%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 0
GET
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 0
ATM
12%
21%
67%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 0
RJA
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 0
CAR
39%
28%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SEV
1 - 0
RJA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RJA
3 - 2
SRQ
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 3
ATM
8%
19%
73%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | 0 |