Atlético vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.5%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATM
38%
26%
36%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
RMA
2 - 4
ATM
66%
18%
16%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ATM
0 - 1
INT
57%
25%
19%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
CAG
0 - 1
ATM
18%
25%
58%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
STU
1 - 1
ATM
20%
26%
54%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 4
SEV
19%
22%
60%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 0
RAY
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
VAD
2 - 0
RAY
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 1
RAY
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
RMC
0 - 3
RAY
11%
18%
72%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | +1 |