Atlético vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 1
ATM
13%
21%
65%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
ALA
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
ATM
18%
22%
60%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 3
ATM
19%
24%
58%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
RSO
52%
25%
23%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 3
CEL
16%
21%
64%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
STM
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HIB
0 - 0
CEL
28%
23%
49%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
ATM
18%
22%
60%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 4
CEL
28%
23%
49%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |