Atlético de Lugones vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
78.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
MAR
14%
23%
63%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 3
UPL
9%
18%
74%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MOS
3 - 0
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 2
TIN
44%
25%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AVI
0 - 0
UPL
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MOS
0 - 3
AVI
8%
16%
77%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AVI
5 - 1
TIN
83%
12%
4%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PRA
1 - 1
AVI
10%
17%
73%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
AVI
2 - 0
UDL
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |