Atlético de Lugones vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
70.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TUI
1 - 1
ATL
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOS
50%
24%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ROB
3 - 0
ATL
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
ROC
64%
22%
14%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GIN
1 - 1
ATL
34%
27%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AVI
2 - 0
UPL
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TIN
0 - 2
AVI
10%
20%
71%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AVI
3 - 0
PRA
83%
13%
4%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
AVI
14%
21%
65%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AVI
1 - 0
LLA
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |