Atlético de Lugones vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+187%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
URR
2 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
TUI
25%
25%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
12%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
CEA
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CUD
0 - 2
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAI
1 - 3
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LUA
1 - 2
NAI
59%
24%
17%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAI
0 - 3
LLA
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
UPL
3 - 0
NAI
74%
18%
9%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAI
2 - 1
ROB
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |