Atlético de Lugones vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 2
SIE
52%
25%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 1
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
ROC
52%
24%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AND
0 - 1
ATL
42%
28%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAM
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 2
LEN
25%
26%
50%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 1
NAR
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 2
AND
23%
26%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
NAR
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 1
PIL
54%
24%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |