Atlético de Lugones vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
AST
1 - 1
ATL
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 0
COV
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 2
ATL
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
TIN
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 2
PIL
72%
18%
11%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 1
LEN
54%
23%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
COM
1 - 0
NAR
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 0
CAM
60%
22%
19%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
MOS
1 - 1
NAR
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 0
COL
34%
26%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |