Atlético de Lugones vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
COL
3 - 0
ATL
62%
21%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 0
HIS
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SAL
0 - 1
ATL
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAP
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 2
ATL
32%
25%
42%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
NAR
1 - 2
LUA
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PRA
4 - 0
NAR
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NAR
0 - 2
SMA
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAR
28%
25%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NAR
2 - 0
URR
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |