Atlético de Lugones vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
1 - 0
ATL
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CUD
1 - 3
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 2
TAP
73%
18%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LEN
3 - 1
ATL
65%
21%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
TUI
20%
25%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
COV
4 - 0
URR
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PRA
1 - 3
COV
34%
27%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
COV
2 - 1
CUD
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TAP
0 - 1
COV
11%
21%
68%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
COV
2 - 1
LEN
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |