Pref. Asturias Promotion Stage Final
Global 1-1
Atlético de Lugones vs Condal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
ATL
37%
27%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ATL
4 - 0
GOZ
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
AND
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AST
2 - 3
ATL
30%
26%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
ATL
37%
27%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NAL
0 - 1
CON
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
BER
42%
26%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AST
1 - 1
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ENA
67%
20%
13%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |