Atlético Libertad vs San Jeronimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.2%
16.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+382%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
5 - 0
ATL
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 2
CDA
81%
11%
7%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SOL
4 - 0
ATL
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 3
UGR
61%
18%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 4
ATL
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
San Jeronimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
COL
48%
20%
32%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 10
TRI
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
SAN
68%
17%
15%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 4
CJA
24%
21%
56%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAL
34%
22%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |