Atletico Juventud Inclan vs Defensor Cubillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Juventud Inclan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
JIN
31%
21%
48%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
JIN
1 - 0
RAN
39%
22%
40%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Cubillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DCE
1 - 2
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 1
DCE
32%
21%
47%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
DCE
6 - 2
CDM
15%
21%
64%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DLV
2 - 1
DCE
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DCE
0 - 2
CDG
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |