Atlético Jaén vs Orcera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 1
ATL
33%
29%
38%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 0
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ATL
0 - 0
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
BET
2 - 1
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 1
PJI
34%
26%
40%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Orcera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ORC
1 - 1
BAI
15%
20%
65%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ORC
2 - 3
FSV
16%
21%
63%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 1
ORC
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ORC
2 - 1
BEA
53%
23%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ORC
2 - 2
QUE
39%
25%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |