Atlético Jaén vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAZ
0 - 3
ATL
34%
24%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 1
IDJ
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CDH
1 - 1
ATL
12%
19%
68%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 2
CDT
56%
21%
24%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
UBE
0 - 2
ATL
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
6 - 0
VIL
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CDR
1 - 2
CAR
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
5 - 1
CDA
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAZ
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
IDJ
0 - 3
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |