Atl. Guaratinguetá U20 vs Grêmio U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
81.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.6%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Guaratinguetá U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
ACG
0 - 0
VIC
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ACG
0 - 2
PVI
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 2
ABR
17%
18%
66%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
TAU
0 - 2
ACG
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CUI
0 - 1
ACG
71%
17%
13%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
PVI
0 - 1
GRE
11%
15%
75%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
GRE
4 - 0
VIC
77%
14%
9%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRU
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
CUI
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 3
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |